ML22061A099

PFHA-2022-Agenda - Final

ML22061A099
Person / Time
Issue date:	02/15/2022
From:	Thomas Aird NRC/RES/DRA
To:
Aird, Thomas - 301 415 2442
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Download: ML22061A099 (8)

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7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 1 of 8 AGENDA Day 1 (Feb 15th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 1 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,537592428# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 537 592 428# Find a local number

• denotes speaker Session 1A: Introduction Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 1A-0 Webinar Logistics Kenneth Hamburger*,

NRC/RES 10:00 10:10 1A-1 Opening Remarks Ray Furstenau*, Director, NRC Office of Research 10:10 10:25 1A-2 NRC PFHA Research Program Update Tom Aird*, NRC/RES 10:25 10:40 1A-3 Moving FEMA towards Probabilistic Flood Risk Analysis and Probabilistic Flood Hazard Analysis David Rosa*, Christina Lindemer, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) 10:40 11:05 1A-4 Committee on the Safety of Nuclear Installations (CSNI) Working Group on External Events (WGEV)

John Nakoski*, NRC/RES (WGEV Chair) 11:05 11:20 Break 11:20 11:35 Session 1B: Sensors Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 1B-1 (Keynote) Flood & Fire Sensors for Resilient Communities Jeffrey Booth*, Department of Homeland Security, Science & Technology Directorate 11:35 12:00 1B-2 USACE Instrumentation and Monitoring Program Georgette Hlepas*,

Christopher Schaal*, U.S.

Army Corps of Engineers 12:00 12:25 1B-3 USGS Water Mission Area Observing Systems Research and Development Program R. Russel Lotspeich*, U.S.

Geological Survey 12:25 12:50

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 2 of 8 1B-4 State and Local Experience in Virginia Implementing IoT Sensors and Data Systems David Ihrie*, Virginia Innovation Partnership Corporation 12:50 13:15 1B-5 Sensor Panel Discussion All Presenters 13:15 13:35 Lunch 13:35 14:35 Session 1C: Climate Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES 1C-1 (KEYNOTE) Big Stories from the Historic Winter of 2020/21 David Novak*, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service (NOAA/NWS) 14:35 15:05 1C-2 Linking Arctic variability and change with extreme winter weather in the US including the Texas Freeze of February 2021 Judah Cohen*1, Laurie Agel2, Mathew Barlow2, Chaim Garfinkel3, Ian White3; 1Atmospheric and Environmental Research, 2University of Massachusetts Lowell, 3Hebrew University of Jerusalem 15:05 15:30 1C-3 2021 U.S. Billion Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters in Historical Context including New County-Level Exposure, Vulnerability and Projected Damage Mapping Adam Smith*, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Centers for Environmental Information (NOAA/NCEI) 15:30 15:55 1C-4 Climate Panel Discussion All Presenters 15:55 16:25 1D Day 1 Wrap-up 16:25 16:30

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 3 of 8 Day 2 (Feb 16th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 2 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,650395647# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 650 395 647# Find a local number Session 2A:

Precipitation Chair: Kevin Quinlan, NRC/NRR 2A-1 Uncertainty in Precipitation Frequency Estimates Under Current and Future Climate Azin Al Kajbaf*, Michelle Bensi, Kaye Brubaker; University of Maryland 10:05 10:30 2A-2 (KEYNOTE) Gridded Surface Weather Data with Uncertainty Quantification - Daymet V4 Peter Thornton*, Oak Ridge National Laboratory 10:30 11:00 2A-3 Utility of Weather Types to Improve the Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Giuseppe Mascaro*, Arizona State University 11:00 11:25 Break 11:25 11:35 2A-4 Characteristics and Causes of Extreme Snowmelt over the Conterminous United States Joshua Welty*1, Xubin Zeng2; 1U.S.

Navy Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center, 2Univerity of Arizona 11:35 12:00 2A-5 LIP PFHA Pilot Study Rajiv Prasad*, Arun Veeramany, Rajesh Singh; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) 12:00 12:25 2A-6 Precip Panel Discussion All Presenters 12:25 12:55 Lunch 12:55 14:00

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 4 of 8 Session 2B: Riverine Flooding Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 2B-1 (KEYNOTE) Flood Typing and Application to Mixed Population Flood Frequency Analysis: An Interagency Collaborative Effort Nancy Barth*1, Michael Bartles2, John England2, Jory Hecht1, Gregory Karlovits2, William Lehman2; 1U.S.

Geological Survey (USGS), 2U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) 14:00 14:30 2B-2 Applying Stochastic Weather Generation and Continuous Hydrologic Simulation for Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessments Joe Bellini*1, Bill Kappel2, Dennis Johnson2, Doug Hultstrand2; 1Aterra Solutions, 2Applied Weather Associates 14:30 14:55 2B-3 IWRSS Flood Inundation Mapping for Flood

Response

Robert Mason*1, Julia Prokopec*1, Adam Barker*2, Cory Winders*3, Darone Jones*4; 1U.S. Geological Survey, 2Federal Emergency Management Agency, 3U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 4National Weather Service 14:55 15:20 2B-4 Using HEC-WAT for NRC's PFHA Process William Lehman*, Gregory Karlovits, David Ho, Leila Ostadrahimi, Brennan Beam, Sara O'Connell, Julia Slaughter; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center (USACE/HEC) 15:20 15:45 2B-5 Riverine Panel Discussion All Presenters 15:45 16:15 2C Day 2 Wrap-up 16:15 16:25

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 5 of 8 Day 3 (Feb 17th, 2022) Poster Presentations Separate Teams Meeting for Each Poster Session 3A: Posters Chair: Thomas Aird, NRC/RES 3A-1 Flood Fragility Function Methodology for a Conceptual Nuclear Power Plant Joy Shen*, Michelle Bensi, Mohammad Modarres; University of Maryland Click here to join the meeting 10:00 11:00 3A-2 Quantifying Uncertainty in Hurricane Warning Times to Inform Coastal Hazard PRA Somayeh Mohammadi*, Michelle Bensi; University of Maryland Click here to join the meeting 10:00 11:00 3A-3 HEC-WAT Interface and Set Up for the Trinity River PFHA Pilot Project David Ho*, William Lehman, Brennan Beam, Sara OConnell, Leila Ostadrahimi; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center Click here to join the meeting 10:00 11:00 3A-4 Riverine Flooding HEC-WAT Pilot Project Dam Break Modeling Brennan Beam*, William Lehman, Sara OConnell, David Ho, Leila Ostadrahimi; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center Click here to join the meeting 10:00 11:00 3A-5 Flooding from Below - The Groundwater Emergence Hazard Kevin M. Befus*1, Patrick L.

Barnard2, Peter W. Swarzenski2, Clifford Voss2; 1University of Arkansas, 2U.S. Geological Survey Click here to join the meeting 10:00 11:00 3A-6 External Flooding PRA Guidance Marko Randelovic*1, Raymond Schneider*2; 1Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI),

2Westinghouse Company Click here to join the meeting 10:00 11:00 Break 11:00 11:10

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 6 of 8 Day 3 (Feb 17th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 3 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,267017189# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 267 017 189# Find a local number Session 3B: Coastal Flooding Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 3B-1 (KeyNote) An Overview of CSTORM Model Development and Results for the South Atlantic Coastal Study (SACS)

Margaret Owensby*1, Chris Massey1, Tyler Hesser1, Mary Bryant1, Andrew Condon2; 1U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, 2USACE Jacksonville District 11:10 11:40 3B-2 Compound Flood Hazard Assessment using a Bayesian Framework Somayeh Mohammadi*1, Michelle Bensi1, Shih-Chieh Kao2, Scott DeNeale2, Joseph Kanney3, Elena Yegorova3, Meredith Carr4; 1Univeristy of Maryland, 2Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 3U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 4U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory 11:40 12:05 3B-3 Coastal Flooding PFHA Pilot Study Victor M. Gonzalez*, Meredith L.

Carr, Karlie Wells, Norberto C. Nadal Caraballo; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory 12:05 12:30 3B-4 Probabilistic Wave Height Hazard Assessment Method at the NPP Site Considering Storm Surge Beom-Jin Kim*, Daegi Hahm, Minkyu Kim; Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute 12:30 12:55

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 7 of 8 3B-5 Comparative Assessment of Joint Distribution Models for Tropical Cyclone Atmospheric Parameters in Probabilistic Coastal Hazard Analysis Ziyue Liu*1, Michelle Bensi1, Meredith Carr2, Norberto Nadal-Caraballo2; 1University of Maryland, 2U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Engineer Research and Development Center Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory 12:55 13:20 3B-6 Coastal Panel Discussion All Presenters 13:20 13:50 3C Day 3 Wrap-up 13:50 14:00 Session 4A: Duane Arnold Derecho Operational Experience Chair: Joseph Kanney, NCR/RES 4A-1 Duane Arnold Energy Center (DAEC) Loss of Offsite Power (LOOP) Due to Derecho Terry Brandt*, Nextera Energy 10:00 10:25 4A-2 The NRCs Regional Response to the Duane Arnold Derecho John Hanna*, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Region 3 (NRC/R3) 10:25 10:50 4A-3 Why the Risk of the Extended Loss of Offsite Power Was Almost a Significant Precursor?

Christopher Hunter*, U.S.

Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Office of Research (NRC/RES) 10:50 11:15 4A-4 The NRCs Response to the Duane Arnold Derecho Event using the LIC-504 Process Matthew Leech*, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation (NRC/NRR) 11:15 11:40 4A-5 Duane Arnold OpE Panel Discussion All Presenters 11:40 11:40 Break 11:40 11:55 Session 4B: ASCE-7 Tornado Wind Loads Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES Day 4 (Feb 18th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 4 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,584586351# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 584 586 351# Find a local number

7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 8 of 8 4B-1 Introduction to Tornado Loads in the New ASCE 7-22 Standard -

Including Long Return Period Tornado Hazards Maps with Applications to Nuclear Facilities Marc Levitan*, National Institute of Standards and Technology 11:55 12:25 Lunch 12:25 13:25 Session 4C: USACE Dam and Levee Database Updates Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 4C-1 National Inventory of Dams Becky Ragon*, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 13:25 13:55 4C-2 National Levee Database Brian Vanbockern*, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 13:55 14:25 4D Workshop Wrap-up Discussion 14:25 14:45